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Earthquake

The WRN earthquake related activities are anchored by the Network's support of the Global Earthquake Model (GEM) programme, a major five year initiative between governments, insurers and public science institutions to produce a global and consistent model of earthquake risk.

Willis is a founder sponsor of GEM and Network member scientists occupy senior positions on GEM bodies and work programmes. Full details of GEM may be found at www.globalquakemodel.org.

In addition to the previous, Willis and WRN member scientists have collaborated on national earthquake risk models for many years, this work pre-dated the formation of the WRN. The WRN continues to develop regional earthquake models and risk assessment programmes.

Latest on Earthquake

  • Damaging Earthquakes Database 2012 – The Year in Review

    Date: Jan 04, 2013 | Type: Article | Ext. Link: Click Here ›

    Pillar: Natural Hazard & Risk
    Hub: Earthquake

    Authors: James Daniell and Armand Vervaeck
    Fields:

    Summary: The purpose of this report is to present the damaging earthquakes in the year 2012 around the world that were entered into the CATDAT Damaging Earthquake Database (a historical global catastrophe database compiled by our WRN partners CEDIM and KIT amongst others) in terms of their socio‐economic effects.

    Read More about this publication ›

    Trimming the UCERF2 Hazard Logic Tree

    Date: Oct 10, 2012 | Type: Paper | Attachment: Download File ›

    Pillar: Natural Hazard & Risk
    Hub: Earthquake

    Authors: Keith A. Porter, Edward H. Field, and Kevin Milner
    Fields: Earthquake

    Summary: Exposures with very large sums insured, such as those dealt through Facultative reinsurance, require particular studies when assessing their seismic risk. A more accurate risk assessment may be translated in better reinsurance pricing due to the consideration of a wider range of uncertainties. A thorough hazard analysis requires a Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment (PSHA) which in some cases may be computationally demanding and time consuming to set up.

    Read More about this publication ›

    Seismic Risk Assessment for the Prioritization of High Seismic Risk Provinces in Turkey

    Date: Apr 30, 2012 | Type: Paper | Attachment: Download File ›

    Pillar: Natural Hazard & Risk
    Hub: Earthquake

    Authors: Mine B. Demircioglu, Karin Sesetyan, and Mustafa Erdik
    Fields: Seismic Risk, Turkey, Prioritization

    Summary: The aim of the present study is the assessment of the earthquake risk in Turkey to constitute the basis for the risk prioritization of provinces.

    Read More about this publication ›

    Incorporation of the spatial correlation of Arias intensity within Earthquake Loss Estimation

    Date: May 24, 2010 | Type: Paper | Attachment: Download File ›

    Pillar: Natural Hazard & Risk
    Hub: Earthquake

    Authors: Peter Stafford Roxane Foulser-Piggott
    Fields: Seismic

    Summary: In this paper, a model for the spatial correlation of Arias intensity is proposed.

    Predicting the Duration of Earthquake Ground Motion

    Date: Dec 01, 2009 | Type: Article |

    Pillar: Natural Hazard & Risk
    Hub: Earthquake

    Authors: Julian Bommer and Peter Stafford. John E. Alarcon
    Fields: Seismic

    Summary: This article is an update and extension of the study of Kempton and Stewart (2006), which presented equations for the prediction of significant duration derived from the Next Generation of Attenuation (NGA) dataset. this article explores alternative functional forms for such equations and additionally presents equations for the prediction of other definitions of duration.

    Ground-motion prediction equations for Europe

    Date: May 10, 2009 | Type: Paper |

    Pillar: Natural Hazard & Risk
    Hub: Earthquake

    Authors: Julian Bommer and Peter Stafford. Sinan Akkar
    Fields: Seismic

    Summary: Following a very brief overview of the historical development of ground-motion recording and prediction in Europe, the paper summarises the current state-of-the-art in terms of regional prediction equations. The paper then goes on to explore the issue of regional variations in earthquake ground-motion and challenges the frequently-made assumption that equations specific to individual countries or regions are required.

    Empirical equations for the prediction of cycles of earthquake ground motion

    Date: May 03, 2009 | Type: Article |

    Pillar: Natural Hazard & Risk
    Hub: Earthquake

    Authors: Julian Bommer and Peter Stafford.
    Fields: Seismic

    Summary: In this study, the strong-motion data base assembled in the Next Generation of Attenuation (NGA) project is used to derive equations for two different measures of the effective numbers of cycles of ground motion as functions of magnitude, distance, and site classification.

    Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis - United Arab Emirates

    Date: Mar 01, 2009 | Type: Article | Attachment: Download File ›

    Pillar: Natural Hazard & Risk
    Hub: Earthquake

    Authors: Julian Bommer and Peter Stafford. G. Aldama-Bustos, C.H. Fenton
    Fields: Seismic

    Summary: The purpose of this study is to obtain a reliable estimate of the seismic hazard in the Emirates, expressed as uniform hazard spectra (UHS) on rock sites in three key cities in the country: Abu Dhabi, Dubai and Ra's Al Khaymah.

    Seismic Reliability of Lifeline Networks

    Date: Feb 23, 2009 | Type: Paper | Attachment: Download File ›

    Pillar: Natural Hazard & Risk
    Hub: Earthquake

    Authors: Charles Scawthorn and Mohammad Javanbarg. J. Kiyono, and Y. Ono
    Fields: Seismic

    Summary: Paper submitted to to ASCE conference (TCLEE 2009) to be held in Oakland in June 2009. A heuristic minimal path sets method for analysing seismic reliability of lifeline networks is proposed.

    A new approach to simulating earthquake ground motion

    Date: Jan 19, 2009 | Type: Article |

    Pillar: Natural Hazard & Risk
    Hub: Earthquake

    Authors: Peter Stafford S. Sgobba and G.C. Marano
    Fields: Seismic

    Summary: The primary purpose of this article is to offer a new envelope function that represents the first component of a full non-stationary stochastic approach to accelerogram generation.

    Globalizing quake information

    Date: Dec 01, 2008 | Type: Article |

    Pillar: Natural Hazard & Risk
    Hub: Earthquake

    Authors:
    Fields: Seismic

    Summary: Destruction from earthquakes continues to threaten poor and wealthy nations alike. The Global Earthquake Model is a potentially important step towards providing risk information on a worldwide basis, using a unifi ed standard.

    The ShakeOut Scenario: a Hypothetical MW7.8 Earthquake on the Southern San Andreas Fault

    Date: Dec 01, 2008 | Type: Paper |

    Pillar: Natural Hazard & Risk
    Hub: Earthquake

    Authors: Charles Scawthorn and Keith Porter.
    Fields: Seismic

    Summary: A summary of the most extensive earthquake planning scenario ever created for the United States

    Seismic Reliability Assessment of Water Supply Systems

    Date: Nov 03, 2008 | Type: Paper |

    Pillar: Natural Hazard & Risk
    Hub: Earthquake

    Authors: Mohammad Javanbarg S. Takada, Emeritus Professor, Department of Civil Engineering, Kobe University
    Fields: Seismic

    Summary: This study develops a comprehensive seismic reliability model for serviceability assessment of water supply systems.

    STATE-OF-THE-ART OF EUROPEAN EARTHQUAKE LOSS ESTIMATION SOFTWARE

    Date: Oct 17, 2008 | Type: Paper |

    Pillar: Natural Hazard & Risk
    Hub: Earthquake

    Authors: Julian Bommer and Peter Stafford. F.O. Strasser and M. Erdik
    Fields: Seismic

    Summary: A review of the state-of the art of loss estimation methodology and software has been carried out as part of subproject JRA3 of the NERIES (Network of Research Infrastructures for European Seismology) project currently being carried out in Europe.

    Observations from the Folkestone, U.K., Earthquake of 28 April 2007

    Date: Oct 01, 2008 | Type: Paper |

    Pillar: Natural Hazard & Risk
    Hub: Earthquake

    Authors: Julian Bommer and Peter Stafford. S. L. Sargeant, R. Lawley, G. Weatherill, A.-J. S. Weston, P. W. Burton, M. Free, R. M. W. Musson, T. Kuuyuor, and T. Rossetto
    Fields: Seismic

    Summary: A compendium of observations from the Folkestone earthquake is presented here. This includes analysis of the first "strong-motion" record from a British earthquake, a description of the damage, an investigation of how the distribution of damage may relate to the distribution of unconsolidated deposits, and the results of the macroseismic survey for the earthquake.

    Preparing for a New View of U.S. Earthquake Risk

    Date: Sep 11, 2008 | Type: Paper | Attachment: Download File ›

    Pillar: Natural Hazard & Risk
    Hub: Earthquake

    Authors: Prasad Gunturi, Willis' Director of US Modeling Research Kyle Beatty, Vice President, Willis
    Fields: Seismic

    Summary: A look at how the vendor earthquake models may change in response to the recent release of new science from the United States Geological Survey (USGS)

    Seismic mitigation in pipeline networks

    Date: Aug 08, 2008 | Type: Paper |

    Pillar: Natural Hazard & Risk
    Hub: Earthquake

    Authors: Mohammad Javanbarg S. Takada - Kobe University, Y. Kuwata - Kobe University
    Fields: Seismic

    Summary: This paper develops a fuzzy analytic hierarchy process to support decision making for priority evaluation of the pipelines renewal applicable to metropolitan water distribution networks

    Scaling factors for seismic design

    Date: Aug 01, 2008 | Type: Paper |

    Pillar: Natural Hazard & Risk
    Hub: Earthquake

    Authors: Julian Bommer and Peter Stafford. Rishmila Mendis.
    Fields: Seismic

    Summary: In this paper, the dependence of the scaling factors with respect to both duration and the number of equivalent load cycles is quantified.

    Predicting the likelihood of damage from earthquake - New Zealand example

    Date: Jul 12, 2008 | Type: Article |

    Pillar: Natural Hazard & Risk
    Hub: Earthquake

    Authors: Peter Stafford John B. Berrill and Jarg R. Pettinga
    Fields: Seismic

    Summary: In this study, a suite of four predictive equations, each using a different functional form, is derived for the prediction of Arias Intensity from crustal earthquakes in New Zealand. The provision of a suite of models is included to allow for epistemic uncertainty to be considered within a PSHA framework.

    Southern California earthquake scenario

    Date: Jul 08, 2008 | Type: Presentation |

    Pillar: Natural Hazard & Risk
    Hub: Earthquake

    Authors: Keith Porter
    Fields: Seismic

    Summary: A look at the most sophisticated US earthquake scenario ever

About WRN

As economic, social and environmental uncertainties increase, institutions and populations seek greater resilience to support sustainable growth. Science and insurance lay at the heart of understanding, managing and sharing these risks, building more secure futures at local and global scales.

The Willis Research Network (WRN) operates across the full spectrum of risk from natural catastrophe, to legal liability, financial and security issues linked across driving themes: Resilience, Security & Sustainable Growth; Managing Extremes; Insurance & Risk Management and Mastering the Modelled World.

All Members and activities are united by a common aim: improving resilience by integrating first class science into operational and financial decision-making across public and private institutions.

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Fast Facts

  • The WRN was formed in September 2006 to support leading academic research into extreme events, with a specific focus on responding to the challenges faced by businesses, insurers and governments
  • The WRN's membership spans the globe, counting more than 50 world-class universities, scientific research organisations and public policy institutions
  • Collectively, our members have published more than 100 papers in leading scientific journals
  • Nearly all of the WRN's research is freely available to the public and can be downloaded on our website

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